THE FINE PRINTtoseeall.net
The Fine Print · toseeall.netDirectory · Long-Term Care

The insurance almost nobody will sell you anymore.

Long-term care is the coverage most Americans will need and the one the industry spent two decades running away from. Carriers mispriced it so badly in the 1990s and 2000s that dozens fled the market — and the ones left holding old policies have spent years clawing the losses back out of their own customers, through rate increases of 50%, 100%, sometimes 143%. This is the story of a broken market, who's still in it, and who pays when it fails.

WILL NEED CARE (AGE 65+) ~70% MEDIAN NURSING HOME ~$108K / yr STANDALONE SELLERS LEFT a handful WA CARES BENEFIT $36,500
01
How a whole market broke

The great long-term care collapse

In the late 1990s, roughly a hundred companies sold long-term care insurance. They priced it on assumptions that turned out to be catastrophically wrong: that many policyholders would drop coverage before ever claiming, that interest on reserves would stay high, and that people wouldn't live as long or claim as much as they did. Almost every one of those assumptions broke the wrong way. Barely anyone lapsed. Interest rates cratered after 2008. People lived longer and claimed more.

The result was a slow-motion exodus. When John Hancock — the second-largest LTC insurer in the country — quit selling new individual policies in December 2016, it left just thirteen carriers standing. Today, the number still writing genuine standalone traditional coverage is down to a small cluster, and the industry's growth has shifted almost entirely to hybrid products that bolt LTC onto life insurance.

The reason this matters isn't nostalgia for a dead product. It's that 70% of Americans turning 65 will need long-term care, a private nursing-home room now runs about $108,000 a year, and Medicare doesn't cover it. The market built to solve that problem largely collapsed — and what replaced it is thinner, pricier, and more complicated.

LTC carriers selling standalone coverage~100 → a handful
From roughly 100 sellers in the late 1990s to 13 after John Hancock's 2016 exit — and fewer writing true traditional coverage today.
Chance you'll need care after 65~70%
Per HHS. Yet a shrinking share of Americans can buy affordable coverage for it.
Median annual nursing-home cost (2026)~$108,000
Medicare won't pay for it. Medicaid only helps after you've spent down nearly everything.

This is the rare insurance market where the danger to the customer isn't the price at purchase — it's the price increase that lands on a policy you've already paid into for twenty years.

02
The rate-increase machine

The bill comes due — on the policyholder

When a carrier discovers its old policies were underpriced, it can't just eat the loss forever. It goes to state regulators and asks to raise premiums on the people who already bought in. Because these customers are now older, often in their 70s and 80s, and can't realistically re-qualify for coverage anywhere else, they're trapped: pay the higher premium, cut their own benefits, or walk away from decades of payments.

No one embodies this like Genworth, once the largest standalone LTC insurer in America. It has secured an estimated $31.8 billion in cumulative rate-increase approvals, with individual policyholders reporting hikes of 79%, 97%, even 143%. It settled the Skochin and Haney class actions, separately settled $219 million over admitted reserve under-funding — and, remarkably, tied executive compensation to hitting rate-increase targets.

The ultimatum every legacy policyholder gets

When the increase notice arrives, the "options" are all forms of losing: pay the higher premium, reduce your inflation protection (say, from 5% compound to 2.9%), shorten your benefit period, or take a paid-up "nonforfeiture" benefit worth a fraction of what you were promised. And the letters usually warn that more increases are coming.

Read the full Genworth investigation →

03
Who's who — three cohorts, not one ranking

The companies

In auto insurance you rank the giants by market share. LTC doesn't work that way. The carriers split into three groups: the few still bravely selling, the graveyard of those managing old policies they'd rather forget, and the public programs stepping into the gap.

Cohort A · The survivors — who still sells

Cohort B · The graveyard — closed blocks

Cohort C · The backstop — public programs

04
The escape hatch

Why the industry pivoted to hybrids

Faced with a product that kept blowing up, insurers engineered a workaround: attach long-term care to a life insurance policy or annuity. These "hybrid" or "linked-benefit" products solve the two things people hated about traditional LTC. You can't lose your premium — if you never need care, your heirs get a death benefit — and the premium is typically guaranteed not to rise, because the carrier can't unilaterally re-price it the way it did the old standalone blocks.

The catch is that you're usually funding it with a large lump sum or a fixed set of payments, the coverage can be less generous per dollar than old-style LTC, and the mechanics — cash indemnity versus reimbursement, indexed versus fixed growth — get genuinely complicated. Hybrids fixed the trust problem. They didn't make the underlying care any cheaper. See how the leaders compare →

05
When private coverage isn't there

The public backstop — and the corridor angle

If you don't have private coverage and can't pay out of pocket, the default payer is Medicaid — but only after you've spent down nearly all your assets to qualify. That's the quiet reality behind most long-term care in America: families impoverish themselves into eligibility.

Washington State built the first alternative. WA Cares, funded by a 0.58% payroll tax, began paying a lifetime benefit of up to $36,500 in July 2026 — modest (about four months of nursing-home care) but a genuine public proof-of-concept. New York and California are moving toward their own versions. Read the state-programs breakdown →

Corridor note · Keene NH — Brattleboro VT — Greenfield MA

An old region in an aging country

Vermont, New Hampshire, and western Massachusetts are among the oldest-skewing populations in the nation, and care costs in the Northeast run well above the U.S. median — a private room in much of New England pushes well past $130,000 a year. For families here, the collapse of affordable LTC isn't abstract. It's the difference between aging at home and spending down a lifetime's savings to qualify for Medicaid.

Sources & further reading

The reporting behind this brief

Figures reflect the most recent 2025–2026 data available. Analysis and framing are original.

  1. HHS / cost-of-care and "70% will need care" data; median nursing-home cost 2026. Via SeniorSimple, Forbes Advisor
  2. The market collapse & the "13 sellers" after John Hancock's 2016 exit. Via LTC Shop
  3. Genworth rate-increase totals, lawsuits & reserve settlements. Via The Long Term Care Desk, InsuranceNewsNet, Sandstone Law
  4. Hybrid / linked-benefit product landscape. Via Hybrid LTC Plans, LTC Tree
  5. WA Cares Fund & state programs. wacaresfund.wa.gov, Center for Retirement Research